沙田 · 2020-04-19
第 4場
2020-04-19沙田第4場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、W Y So訓練的FOODIE PRINCESS勝出，贏出3/4。LONDON LUCKYSTAR獲得亞軍；RACING LUCK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FOODIE PRINCESS 後段發力 TT 1.37.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 13 | 1.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR 後段發力 B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 30.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | RACING LUCK 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | CLEAR CHOICE 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 2 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | PING HAI TREASURE P K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | COT CAMPBELL B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BRAVE KING 後段發力 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 12 | 361.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | NUREMBERG 後段發力 B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 333.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | TOUCH OF LUCK CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 10 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPERICH 後段發力 SR/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING 早段領放 CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 11 | 18.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | YOUNG THUNDER CP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 410.0 | 23-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS XB1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 5 | 60.0 | 25-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | SHANGHAI GRACE T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 8 | 290.0 | 28 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 47.5% | 2.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CLEAR CHOICE | 11.8% | 8.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | COT CAMPBELL | 10.5% | 9.56 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPERICH | 7.7% | 13.03 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | PING HAI TREASURE | 5.0% | 20.09 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | RACING LUCK | 5.0% | 20.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 4.4% | 22.86 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 2.8% | 35.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 1.7% | 58.85 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 1.2% | 80.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 0.9% | 115.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | NUREMBERG | 0.6% | 160.13 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | YOUNG THUNDER | 0.5% | 193.69 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | BRAVE KING | 0.4% | 227.04 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 18.5
PLACE
3 29
12 46
14 11.5
QUINELLA
12,14 235
QUINELLA PLACE
3,12 372.5
3,14 41.5
12,14 81
TIERCE
14,12,3 2,101
TRIO
3,12,14 808
FIRST 4
3,8,12,14 615
QUARTET
14,12,3,8 9,377
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,12/3,12,14 69,774
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
12/12 1,002.5
12/14 134