沙田 · 2020-04-19
第 6場
2020-04-19沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、P F Yiu訓練的TEAM POWER勝出，贏出3/4。ALL FOR ST PAUL'S獲得亞軍；KA YING EXCELLENT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.9倍大熱門HEZA BEAUTY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TEAM POWER 後段發力 1.22.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | KA YING EXCELLENT 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET CP Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | HEZA BEAUTY E/V J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 1.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SMART CHARADE 後段發力 B/H/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 13 | 79.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 14 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | EPTIWINS 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER BULLET B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 257.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 12 | 384.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 8 | 93.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SMILING CITY CP/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 34.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | ERIN CENTENARY H/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 5 | 494.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 9 | EURO LAGO B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HEZA BEAUTY | 27.5% | 3.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | TEAM POWER | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 18.4% | 5.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET | 8.8% | 11.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | SMILING CITY | 5.1% | 19.56 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 4.8% | 20.89 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | EPTIWINS | 3.7% | 27.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | SMART CHARADE | 3.0% | 33.29 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY | 2.9% | 34.33 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 1.4% | 70.38 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | FORTUNATE RUNNER | 1.1% | 92.75 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | ERIN CENTENARY | 0.9% | 116.04 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | SUPER BULLET | 0.7% | 135.18 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 91.5
PLACE
1 17
4 23.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
4,12 670
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 72
1,12 85.5
4,12 151
TIERCE
4,12,1 7,561
TRIO
1,4,12 1,006
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 900
QUARTET
4,12,1,6 25,720
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
1/4 151
1/12 135
TRIPLE TRIO
3,12,14/1,4,6/1,4,12 5,245,056
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,12,14/1,4,6/Any Combination 3,670