沙田 · 2020-04-19
第 1場
2020-04-19沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的WONDER EXPRESS勝出，贏出1/2。LIVERBIRD STAR獲得亞軍；HURRICANE HUNTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門HURRICANE HUNTER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WONDER EXPRESS 後段發力 CP/TT 1.22.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVERBIRD STAR B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER 後段發力 J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 6 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GOOD CHOICE AHEAD 後段發力 B/H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 14 | 107.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | GOLDEN CANNON 後段發力 B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | OLD HAVANA 後段發力 B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 64.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPREME PLUS 早段領放 B/XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MONEYMORE TT2 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 4.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SHANGHAI RUSKY H/B1 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 68.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE BUDDY B-/TT N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 3 | 271.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | WINNING WARRIOR V M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 133.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | DR LUCKY STAR B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 12 | 159.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 30.6% | 3.27 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 13.5% | 7.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | JOY MASTER | 12.9% | 7.73 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.74 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | MONEYMORE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPREME PLUS | 7.2% | 13.91 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | WONDER EXPRESS | 6.9% | 14.59 | 1 |
| 8 | 14 | GOLDEN CANNON | 2.7% | 37.55 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SHANGHAI RUSKY | 2.6% | 38.06 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | GOOD CHOICE AHEAD | 2.6% | 38.91 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | DR LUCKY STAR | 1.9% | 53.40 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 1.4% | 70.03 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | WINNING WARRIOR | 1.4% | 72.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | OLD HAVANA | 1.3% | 75.39 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 90
PLACE
1 12.5
4 28
9 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 412
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 59
1,9 48.5
4,9 130
TIERCE
9,4,1 2,404
TRIO
1,4,9 301
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 339
QUARTET
9,4,1,2 8,892
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —