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Sha Tin · 2020-04-19

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TEAM POWER Closed strongly 1.22.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · P F Yiu 2 9.1 3/4
2 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor 6 13.0 3/4
3 0 KA YING EXCELLENT Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 4 5.7 1-1/4
4 0 TELECOM ROCKET CP Z Purton · Y S Tsui 9 6.2 1-1/2
5 0 HEZA BEAUTY E/V J Moreira · J Size 3 1.9 3
6 0 SMART CHARADE Closed strongly B/H/TT N Callan · W Y So 13 79.0 3-1/2
7 0 SPEED FAY FAY B V Borges · T P Yung 14 40.0 4-1/4
8 0 EPTIWINS Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 11 10.0 4-1/2
9 0 SUPER BULLET B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 1 257.0 5
10 0 FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT H N Wong · K W Lui 12 384.0 6
11 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson 8 93.0 6-1/4
12 0 SMILING CITY CP/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte 10 34.0 10-1/2
13 0 ERIN CENTENARY H/TT H W Lai · C S Shum 5 494.0 19-1/2
— 0 EURO LAGO B Shinn · C W Chang — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEAM POWER, ridden by C Schofield and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and KA YING EXCELLENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite HEZA BEAUTY finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TEAM POWER—2. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+0.75L3. KA YING EXCELLENT+1.25L4. TELECOM ROCKET+1.5L5. HEZA BEAUTY+3L6. SMART CHARADE+3.5L7. SPEED FAY FAY+4.25L8. EPTIWINS+4.5L9. SUPER BULLET+5L10. FORTUNATE RUNNER+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick HEZA BEAUTY (27.5%) finished 5th — the winner TEAM POWER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HEZA BEAUTY 27.5% 3.64 5
2 0 TEAM POWER 21.7% 4.60 1
3 0 KA YING EXCELLENT 18.4% 5.45 3
4 0 TELECOM ROCKET 8.8% 11.31 4
5 0 SMILING CITY 5.1% 19.56 12
6 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 4.8% 20.89 2
7 0 EPTIWINS 3.7% 27.32 8
8 0 SMART CHARADE 3.0% 33.29 6
9 0 SPEED FAY FAY 2.9% 34.33 7
10 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW 1.4% 70.38 11
11 0 FORTUNATE RUNNER 1.1% 92.75 10
12 0 ERIN CENTENARY 0.9% 116.04 13
13 0 SUPER BULLET 0.7% 135.18 9
HEZA BEAUTYTEAM POWER — wonKA YING EXCELLENTTELECOM ROCKETSMILING CITYALL FOR ST PAUL'SEPTIWINSSMART CHARADESPEED FAY FAYIMPECCABLE FELLOWFORTUNATE RUNNERERIN CENTENARYSUPER BULLET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 91.5

PLACE

1 17

4 23.5

12 28.5

QUINELLA

4,12 670

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 72

1,12 85.5

4,12 151

TIERCE

4,12,1 7,561

TRIO

1,4,12 1,006

FIRST 4

1,4,6,12 900

QUARTET

4,12,1,6 25,720

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 16

A3 —

All pools (3 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/4 151

1/12 135

TRIPLE TRIO

3,12,14/1,4,6/1,4,12 5,245,056

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,12,14/1,4,6/Any Combination 3,670