Sha Tin · 2020-04-19
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEGA HEART XB/TT 1.08.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 31.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | JUST NOT LISTENING V J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 4 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | UTOPIA LIFE B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 2 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ELITE PATCH H/PC/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR LUCK K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 7.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 70.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STREET SCREAM M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 89.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY FAMILY H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 9 | 379.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MEGA HEART, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C W Chang, won by 1/2, with JUST NOT LISTENING second and UTOPIA LIFE third. The 2.9 favourite UTOPIA LIFE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UTOPIA LIFE | 36.1% | 2.77 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 18.4% | 5.44 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL | 12.9% | 7.74 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR LUCK | 6.6% | 15.11 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ZERO HEDGE | 6.1% | 16.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 4.9% | 20.41 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | MEGA HEART | 4.2% | 24.08 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | ELITE PATCH | 3.9% | 25.43 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG FORTUNE | 3.4% | 29.59 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.5% | 67.67 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FAMILY | 1.2% | 83.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | STREET SCREAM | 0.9% | 116.07 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 312.5
PLACE
2 14.5
3 62.5
4 21
QUINELLA
3,4 644.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 135
2,4 33
3,4 182
TIERCE
3,4,2 4,339
TRIO
2,3,4 321
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 868
QUARTET
3,4,2,10 34,385
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 435.5
4/4 13.5