Sha Tin · 2020-04-19
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FANTASY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with TEAM SPIRIT second and HAPPY ALUMNI third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FANTASY B/TT 1.08.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 12 | 42.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 5 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | ETERNAL HARVEST C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GRADE ONE B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY PUZZLE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 413.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO SR Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | XIANG YIN TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 10 | 108.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GLENEALY GENERALS M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MOERAKI H1 C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 8 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM CP1/XB1 M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 3 | 275.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FANTASY | 38.6% | 2.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 13.9% | 7.21 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | ETERNAL HARVEST | 9.2% | 10.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 7.8% | 12.88 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 7.0% | 14.34 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | XIANG YIN | 5.4% | 18.51 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 5.4% | 18.56 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | MOERAKI | 5.0% | 19.86 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | GRADE ONE | 3.4% | 29.33 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.3% | 42.64 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.4% | 69.67 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 0.6% | 178.60 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 16.5
PLACE
1 79.5
4 11.5
10 18
QUINELLA
1,4 334
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 101
1,10 359
4,10 28
TIERCE
4,1,10 2,267
TRIO
1,4,10 705
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 2,026
QUARTET
4,1,10,3 25,436
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/1,4,10 96,950
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 275
4/4 169.5