Sha Tin · 2020-10-11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H 1.21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly CP1/TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 5 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE HERO Led early B-/TT1 C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 4 | 148.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 8 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE Closed strongly C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 7 | 43.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT B A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLAR POWER K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | EURO LAGO CP/E H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 195.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GOLDIE FLANKER K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BELUGA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with SAM'S LOVE second and FORTUNE HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA | 59.8% | 1.67 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 12.9% | 7.74 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 9.9% | 10.13 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SOLAR POWER | 9.1% | 10.95 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE | 4.0% | 25.05 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 2.8% | 35.62 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE HERO | 0.8% | 122.95 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | EURO LAGO | 0.7% | 151.83 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 12
6 34
9 162.5
QUINELLA
1,6 168.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 49.5
1,9 322
6,9 954.5
FORECAST
1,6 190
TIERCE
1,6,9 5,268
TRIO
1,6,9 4,053
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 1,232
QUARTET
1,6,9,7 16,632
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 107
2/6 172
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5