Sha Tin · 2020-10-11
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT 1.08.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | THE CROWN H1 C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS E/TT C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 2 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 3 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER STAR TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING METHOD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 6 | 82.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SHINING ACE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MR CROISSANT CP A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 10 | 73.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | ARMANDO A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 12 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | TOUCH OF LUCK CP V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 13 | 141.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-11 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CALIFORNIA RAD, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with GOOD LUCK FRIEND second and BAND OF BROTHERS third. The 2.3 favourite LUCKY EXPRESS finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 33.9% | 2.95 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 12.1% | 8.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 11.9% | 8.41 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 8.7% | 11.53 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 7.2% | 13.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 6.7% | 14.89 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINING ACE | 3.9% | 25.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | MR CROISSANT | 3.6% | 27.78 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | ARMANDO | 3.3% | 30.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | WATER DIVINER | 2.8% | 35.73 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | THE CROWN | 2.1% | 48.02 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER STAR | 2.0% | 50.47 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.8% | 55.08 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 99
PLACE
2 22.5
7 25.5
8 26.5
QUINELLA
7,8 387
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 100.5
2,8 101.5
7,8 108.5
FORECAST
7,8 721
TIERCE
7,8,2 4,089
TRIO
2,7,8 998
FIRST 4
2,7,8,11 5,227
QUARTET
7,8,2,11 112,226
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 31
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,11/2,7,8 2,204,146
9TH DOUBLE
6/7 902
6/8 129
SIX UP
1,8/3,12/3,10/1,4/6,11/7,8 184,755
8/3/10/1/6/7 8,233,479
4 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
1/6/7 13,502
1/6/8 1,728