Sha Tin · 2020-10-11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | APEX TOP Closed strongly B 1.21.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 8.6 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly P- C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 7.8 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY Led early M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 49.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE DRIVE Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CASIMIRO N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO E-/B2 C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 5 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 14.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. APEX TOP, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by A T Millard, won by SH, with GOLDEN FOUR second and LUCKY QUALITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CASIMIRO finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MALDIVES | 31.5% | 3.18 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 16.6% | 6.01 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 15.7% | 6.35 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 11.7% | 8.54 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO | 8.1% | 12.31 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO | 4.8% | 21.04 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | APEX TOP | 4.3% | 23.10 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 3.9% | 25.80 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.4% | 29.80 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 86.5
PLACE
1 20
3 29
8 25.5
QUINELLA
1,8 361.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 93.5
1,8 99
3,8 165.5
FORECAST
8,1 897
TIERCE
8,1,3 8,958
TRIO
1,3,8 1,121
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 5,581
QUARTET
8,1,3,6 114,313
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 37
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 61.5
7/8 655.5