Sha Tin · 2020-10-11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B 1.47.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 12 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 8 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER B B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER FAST BR/XB N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 11 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/H1/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 160.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR WIN Led early CP1 M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 4 | 92.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 45.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD DAYS B/TT C Schofield · C S Shum | C Schofield | C S Shum | 10 | 17.0 | 69-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-11 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NATURAL STORM, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with BUNDLE OF ENERGY second and FULL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXALTATION | 26.7% | 3.75 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 21.2% | 4.73 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 12.9% | 7.75 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 9.3% | 10.79 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 7.4% | 13.47 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 6.1% | 16.35 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | FULL POWER | 4.4% | 22.96 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 4.0% | 24.94 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 3.5% | 28.97 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 2.3% | 42.98 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 1.4% | 71.88 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR WIN | 0.9% | 109.33 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 34
PLACE
3 14.5
5 43
12 38
QUINELLA
3,12 300.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 105.5
3,12 99
5,12 295
FORECAST
3,12 424
TIERCE
3,12,5 5,464
TRIO
3,5,12 1,508
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 1,319
QUARTET
3,12,5,6 25,064
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/3 503.5
8/12 375.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,6,7/1,3,8/3,5,12 6,655,265
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,7/1,3,8/Any Combination 4,649