Sha Tin · 2020-10-18
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT 2.02.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD Closed strongly B C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 6 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PROUD SKY V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAY RUN XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY B- H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 4 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT1 N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 8 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND V-/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 101.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HOME WIN Led early CP B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 1 | 5.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-18 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING AGILITY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with SKY GEM second and FORTUNE PATROL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite SKY GEM finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM | 23.1% | 4.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HOME WIN | 13.7% | 7.30 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 10.8% | 9.29 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | HAY RUN | 10.4% | 9.58 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 9.2% | 10.90 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 8.2% | 12.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 7.9% | 12.72 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 6.8% | 14.62 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 5.6% | 17.71 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 2.3% | 43.99 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 2.0% | 51.22 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 71
PLACE
1 16
5 23.5
7 28.5
QUINELLA
1,5 193
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 68
1,7 74
5,7 100
FORECAST
5,1 373
TIERCE
5,1,7 2,504
TRIO
1,5,7 530
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 698
QUARTET
5,1,7,4 17,130
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27