Sha Tin · 2020-10-18
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E 1.22.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 12 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TAKING AIM C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 11 | 28.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 14 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TOP SCORE TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 8 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART PATCH B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 7 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | A A AGILITY H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 163.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | ARMOR STAR Led early V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 4.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE V1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 218.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-18 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HEZA BEAUTY, ridden by N Callan and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with THE HULK second and TAKING AIM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite ARMOR STAR finished 13th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARMOR STAR | 29.1% | 3.44 | 13 |
| 2 | 0 | THE HULK | 19.2% | 5.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 12.1% | 8.29 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY | 9.0% | 11.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 7.1% | 14.15 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR | 4.5% | 22.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 4.2% | 23.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 3.0% | 33.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 3.0% | 33.59 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 2.9% | 34.50 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 2.8% | 35.61 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 2.4% | 41.90 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE | 0.5% | 206.05 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | A A AGILITY | 0.4% | 256.92 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 64.5
PLACE
3 70.5
5 21.5
9 23
QUINELLA
5,9 251
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 269
3,9 379
5,9 88.5
FORECAST
9,5 563
TIERCE
9,5,3 10,989
TRIO
3,5,9 2,525
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 4,510
QUARTET
9,5,3,7 92,986
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,10/3,5,9 13,330
9TH DOUBLE
3/5 25
3/9 189.5
SIX UP
11,12/4,9/3,4/3,4/3,10/5,9 1,556
12/9/4/4/3/9 11,793
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
4/3/5 81
4/3/9 558