Sha Tin · 2020-10-18
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-18 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with KA YING STAR second and SOUTHERN LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 1.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KA YING STAR Led early V/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 1 | 46.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | CHAMPION'S WAY B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | CHEFANO CP M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 2 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SINGAPORE SLING Closed strongly SR/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 10 | 209.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FAST MOST FURIOUS B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 102.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HARMONY VICTORY SR/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 7 | 120.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FURORE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 11 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR-/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 49.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 26.3% | 3.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION | 20.3% | 4.92 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 16.2% | 6.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | CHEFANO | 7.7% | 12.92 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 5.3% | 18.70 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.67 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | KA YING STAR | 4.5% | 22.18 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | FURORE | 4.3% | 23.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 4.0% | 24.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 2.7% | 36.77 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | HARMONY VICTORY | 2.4% | 42.01 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | SINGAPORE SLING | 1.5% | 64.52 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 13.5
PLACE
2 24.5
3 56.5
4 10.5
QUINELLA
3,4 180
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 265.5
2,4 37.5
3,4 69
FORECAST
4,3 184
TIERCE
4,3,2 894
TRIO
2,3,4 431
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 375
QUARTET
4,3,2,8 3,866
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,10/2,3,4 32,423
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/3 308
9/4 69.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B1 —
B2 —
B3 13.5