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Sha Tin · 2020-10-18

Race 7

Group 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 1.3 1/2
2 0 KA YING STAR Led early V/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 1 46.0 1/2
3 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes 9 18.0 2-1/4
4 0 CHAMPION'S WAY B/TT J Moreira · J Size 3 6.4 2-1/2
5 0 DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 4 34.0 2-3/4
6 0 BEAUTY GENERATION CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 8.3 3-1/2
7 0 CHEFANO CP M Chadwick · D A Hayes 2 55.0 4
8 0 SINGAPORE SLING Closed strongly SR/XB H T Mo · A T Millard 10 209.0 4-3/4
9 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS B1 M F Poon · D J Hall 12 102.0 5-1/4
10 0 HARMONY VICTORY SR/TT V Borges · C S Shum 7 120.0 5-1/4
11 0 FURORE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 11 30.0 5-1/2
12 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR-/TT A Badel · C S Shum 8 49.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-18 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with KA YING STAR second and SOUTHERN LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. KA YING STAR+0.5L3. SOUTHERN LEGEND+2.25L4. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.5L5. DANCES WITH DRAGON+2.75L6. BEAUTY GENERATION+3.5L7. CHEFANO+4L8. SINGAPORE SLING+4.75L9. FAST MOST FURIOUS+5.25L10. HARMONY VICTORY+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (26.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 26.3% 3.80 1
2 0 BEAUTY GENERATION 20.3% 4.92 6
3 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 16.2% 6.19 4
4 0 CHEFANO 7.7% 12.92 7
5 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND 5.3% 18.70 3
6 0 DANCES WITH DRAGON 4.6% 21.67 5
7 0 KA YING STAR 4.5% 22.18 2
8 0 FURORE 4.3% 23.11 11
9 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 4.0% 24.88 12
10 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS 2.7% 36.77 9
11 0 HARMONY VICTORY 2.4% 42.01 10
12 0 SINGAPORE SLING 1.5% 64.52 8
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonBEAUTY GENERATIONCHAMPION'S WAYCHEFANOSOUTHERN LEGENDDANCES WITH DRAGONKA YING STARFUROREPLAYA DEL PUENTEFAST MOST FURIOUSHARMONY VICTORYSINGAPORE SLING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 13.5

PLACE

2 24.5

3 56.5

4 10.5

QUINELLA

3,4 180

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 265.5

2,4 37.5

3,4 69

FORECAST

4,3 184

TIERCE

4,3,2 894

TRIO

2,3,4 431

FIRST 4

2,3,4,8 375

QUARTET

4,3,2,8 3,866

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,9,10/2,3,4 32,423

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 13.5

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

9/3 308

9/4 69.5

WINNING TRAINER

B4 —

B3 13.5

B2 —

B1 —