Sha Tin · 2020-10-18
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-18 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WILL POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with ENCORE BOY second and UGLY WARRIOR third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WILL POWER XB 1.08.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ENCORE BOY B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 9 | 38.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | UGLY WARRIOR V- J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | RED DESERT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | MEGA HEART XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | KINGS SHIELD CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | UTOPIA LIFE B C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 11 | 27.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNNY BOY B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 19.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAR SLAM V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 7 | 147.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WILL POWER | 23.1% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 14.0% | 7.16 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 12.5% | 8.01 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNNY BOY | 12.3% | 8.12 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | UGLY WARRIOR | 10.6% | 9.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | RED DESERT | 8.1% | 12.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | RACING FIGHTER | 5.7% | 17.69 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | MEGA HEART | 3.9% | 25.63 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | ENCORE BOY | 3.4% | 29.60 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | UTOPIA LIFE | 2.6% | 39.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | KINGS SHIELD | 2.4% | 41.37 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAR SLAM | 1.6% | 63.41 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 30.5
PLACE
3 82
4 14.5
7 21.5
QUINELLA
3,4 538
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 173.5
3,7 310
4,7 40.5
FORECAST
4,3 927
TIERCE
4,3,7 6,346
TRIO
3,4,7 746
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 1,128
QUARTET
4,3,7,2 34,158
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 69
4/4 41.5