Sha Tin · 2020-10-18
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RESOLUTE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-3/4, with SUPER ALLIANCES second and STAR SUPERIOR third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RESOLUTE XB-/B 1.09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 10 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | STAR SUPERIOR C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HERO STAR TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 2 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPEED TO EXCEED H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 144.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SUNNY AND GOLD H/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 9.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP-/B2 K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | STRIKING MR C B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 3 | 9.2 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER KIN TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 4 | 12.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 5.2 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 21.7% | 4.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 16.9% | 5.91 | 12 |
| 3 | 9 | RESOLUTE | 12.8% | 7.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER KIN | 11.3% | 8.86 | 11 |
| 5 | 8 | HERO STAR | 9.9% | 10.12 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | STRIKING MR C | 5.6% | 17.91 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 5.2% | 19.16 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 4.9% | 20.58 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | STAR SUPERIOR | 4.4% | 22.92 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | DOLLAR REWARD | 3.7% | 27.10 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.9% | 34.62 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 0.9% | 116.45 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 39
PLACE
4 33.5
9 16.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
4,9 253
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 90.5
4,10 230.5
9,10 92.5
FORECAST
9,4 663
TIERCE
9,4,10 4,326
TRIO
4,9,10 822
FIRST 4
4,8,9,10 1,647
QUARTET
9,4,10,8 36,354
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5
5TH DOUBLE
12/4 146.5
12/9 249.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,5,12/1,11,12/4,9,10 8,302,915
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,12/1,11,12/Any Combination 6,441