Sha Tin · 2020-11-29
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT 1.34.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BUDDIES H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT Closed strongly CP-/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT TT1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 6 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS B- N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 11 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB-/TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 13 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 10 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 5 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DARK DREAM B-/CP2/TT- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 128.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD Led early CP C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 7 | 115.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KING OPIE V C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 12 | 262.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SKY DARCI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with LUCKY EXPRESS second and BUDDIES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY DARCI | 57.4% | 1.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BUDDIES | 12.2% | 8.16 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 6.8% | 14.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 4.3% | 23.48 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 3.8% | 26.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 2.4% | 41.91 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | KING OPIE | 2.2% | 46.27 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 1.7% | 59.47 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 1.6% | 61.02 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 1.5% | 65.42 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 0.9% | 110.26 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | DARK DREAM | 0.6% | 169.71 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 25
PLACE
1 16.5
11 18.5
12 14
QUINELLA
11,12 77
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 41
1,12 26.5
11,12 33
FORECAST
12,11 118
TIERCE
12,11,1 303
TRIO
1,11,12 68
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 190
QUARTET
12,11,1,8 2,487
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/1,11,12 3,149
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/11 28
2/12 108.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 25
B2 —
B4 —
B1 —