Sha Tin · 2020-11-29
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ADONIS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with RED BRICK FIGHTER second and SPICY GRILL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite RED BRICK FIGHTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ADONIS Closed strongly P-/CP2/H2 1.22.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 1 | 2.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 8 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B-/H/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 5 | 33.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | DESTIN Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FUN TIMES Closed strongly B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO Led early TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 6 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | NUREMBERG Closed strongly B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 4 | 135.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | VICTORIOUS LEADER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | KEEP WINNING Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 224.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly CP/TT H W Lai · T P Yung | H W Lai | T P Yung | 14 | 332.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 10 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 29.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 40.9% | 2.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | ADONIS | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | DESTIN | 8.1% | 12.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.7% | 17.65 | 13 |
| 5 | 8 | SPICY GRILL | 4.9% | 20.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | GREEN ENVY | 4.6% | 21.86 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | SOCCER MASTER | 4.4% | 22.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 3.8% | 26.15 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 | FUN TIMES | 3.3% | 29.91 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 2.9% | 34.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO | 2.7% | 36.77 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | NUREMBERG | 2.4% | 41.67 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | KEEP WINNING | 1.7% | 59.21 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 0.7% | 140.02 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 56
PLACE
4 11.5
8 67
10 16.5
QUINELLA
4,10 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 101.5
4,10 28.5
8,10 194
FORECAST
10,4 198
TIERCE
10,4,8 2,278
TRIO
4,8,10 391
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 763
QUARTET
10,4,8,1 18,619
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/4 10.5
9/10 264.5
3 PICK 1
A2 34.5
A3 —
A1 —