沙田 · 2020-11-29
第 2場
2020-11-29沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ADONIS勝出，贏出NOSE。RED BRICK FIGHTER獲得亞軍；SPICY GRILL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門RED BRICK FIGHTER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ADONIS 後段發力 P-/CP2/H2 1.22.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | RED BRICK FIGHTER 後段發力 B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 1 | 2.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 8 | SPICY GRILL 後段發力 B-/H/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 5 | 33.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | DESTIN 後段發力 B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FUN TIMES 後段發力 B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO 早段領放 TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 6 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | GREEN ENVY 後段發力 V/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | NUREMBERG 後段發力 B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 4 | 135.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | VICTORIOUS LEADER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | KEEP WINNING 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 224.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | JOY N FUN LEGEND 後段發力 CP/TT H W Lai · T P Yung | H W Lai | T P Yung | 14 | 332.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 10 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 29.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 40.9% | 2.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | ADONIS | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | DESTIN | 8.1% | 12.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.7% | 17.65 | 13 |
| 5 | 8 | SPICY GRILL | 4.9% | 20.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | GREEN ENVY | 4.6% | 21.86 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | SOCCER MASTER | 4.4% | 22.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 3.8% | 26.15 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 | FUN TIMES | 3.3% | 29.91 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 2.9% | 34.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO | 2.7% | 36.77 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | NUREMBERG | 2.4% | 41.67 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | KEEP WINNING | 1.7% | 59.21 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 0.7% | 140.02 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 56
PLACE
4 11.5
8 67
10 16.5
QUINELLA
4,10 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 101.5
4,10 28.5
8,10 194
FORECAST
10,4 198
TIERCE
10,4,8 2,278
TRIO
4,8,10 391
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 763
QUARTET
10,4,8,1 18,619
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/4 10.5
9/10 264.5
3 PICK 1
A2 34.5
A3 —
A1 —