沙田 · 2020-11-29
第 10場
2020-11-29沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的ENRICH DELIGHT勝出，贏出1。BALLISTIC KING獲得亞軍；TOURBILLON DIAMOND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門HEALTHY HAPPY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENRICH DELIGHT 後段發力 1.20.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BALLISTIC KING 後段發力 N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 2 | 7.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND 後段發力 B1/TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 71.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | STAR OF YUEN LONG 早段領放 B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | HEALTHY HAPPY V C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 8 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SHADOW HERO 後段發力 B1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY LEGACY 後段發力 E/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 6 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY RUSH E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 8.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WATER DIVINER 後段發力 B/H/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 60.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER STAR TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | HAPPY FUN B/TT2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 62.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO TT1 C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 14 | 106.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 24.4% | 4.09 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN | 19.7% | 5.07 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | BEAUTY RUSH | 9.9% | 10.14 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | SHADOW HERO | 8.5% | 11.79 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | ENRICH DELIGHT | 8.0% | 12.50 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | BALLISTIC KING | 6.4% | 15.60 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.7% | 21.33 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 4.0% | 24.75 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 3.3% | 30.26 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 2.6% | 39.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO | 2.5% | 39.80 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER STAR | 2.4% | 41.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | WATER DIVINER | 2.0% | 50.59 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | HAPPY FUN | 1.6% | 61.75 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 84
PLACE
1 20
8 130
9 26
QUINELLA
1,9 270
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 505.5
1,9 99.5
8,9 724
FORECAST
9,1 641
TIERCE
9,1,8 18,612
TRIO
1,8,9 2,437
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 31,879
QUARTET
9,1,8,11 452,336
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 28.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,13,14/1,8,9 85,686
9TH DOUBLE
14/1 30
14/9 285
SIX UP
7,11/2,5/11,12/1,2/3,14/1,9 4,712
11/2/12/2/14/9 1,249,654
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/14/1 856
2/14/9 9,590