沙田 · 2020-11-29
第 1場
2020-11-29沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SUPER AXIOM勝出，贏出2。AMAZING ROCKY獲得亞軍；ROMANTIC TROVE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM XB1 0.56.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 14 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | ROMANTIC TROVE T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 1 | 89.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOKO B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ALL THE WAY B/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 13 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | ICE LEGEND H1 N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 2 | 189.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE XB-/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | MISTER ARM H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 281.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/CP1/TT A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 12 | 19.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY RUBY B1 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 100.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CHAMPION PRIDE TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 59.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MULTIMORE B1/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 7 | 22.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 9.7 | 21-1/4 |
| — | 4 | LUCKY FUN H1 M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 8 | 8.2 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RHAPSODY | 22.6% | 4.43 | 13 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 12.4% | 8.04 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | GOKO | 10.2% | 9.83 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM | 9.6% | 10.46 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | MULTIMORE | 8.4% | 11.97 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | ICE LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.92 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | ALL THE WAY | 2.9% | 34.63 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 2.6% | 39.12 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 2.5% | 39.99 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | MISTER ARM | 1.8% | 56.17 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 1.7% | 57.70 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | LUCKY RUBY | 1.1% | 88.44 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 22.5
PLACE
2 16.5
8 165
9 12.5
QUINELLA
2,9 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 596.5
2,9 28
8,9 440.5
FORECAST
9,2 90
TIERCE
9,2,8 4,226
TRIO
2,8,9 1,850
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 2,420
QUARTET
9,2,8,10 35,774
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —