沙田 · 2020-11-29
第 6場
2020-11-29沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、C H Yip訓練的KASI FARASI勝出，贏出3/4。TELECOM ROCKET獲得亞軍；ROBOT WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 1.21.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET 後段發力 CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 4 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 V Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | JUDY'S STAR 後段發力 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MERCURIAL XB C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 7 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPERB DADDY 後段發力 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PEARL CHAMPION 後段發力 B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 117.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING STEED J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 9 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | APOLAR WARRIOR CP-/B2 T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 6 | 169.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER 早段領放 B-/CP1/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 3 | 141.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 29.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL XB/H2 C Wong · D J Hall | C Wong | D J Hall | 13 | 46.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING STEED | 18.6% | 5.38 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | KASI FARASI | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | MERCURIAL | 10.2% | 9.76 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET | 9.9% | 10.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 9.4% | 10.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 8.1% | 12.28 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLDEN FOUR | 7.9% | 12.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.8% | 12.76 | 13 |
| 9 | 4 | JUDY'S STAR | 5.0% | 20.05 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | PEARL CHAMPION | 2.7% | 36.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.1% | 46.88 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 2.1% | 47.73 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 1.3% | 74.74 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 0.7% | 136.64 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 32.5
PLACE
2 14.5
5 30
8 21
QUINELLA
2,5 136
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 57
2,8 47.5
5,8 123.5
FORECAST
2,5 220
TIERCE
2,5,8 1,556
TRIO
2,5,8 390
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 828
QUARTET
2,5,8,4 12,858
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/2 334
11/5 177.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,12/5,7,11/Any Combination 28,511