Sha Tin · 2020-11-29
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KASI FARASI, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with TELECOM ROCKET second and ROBOT WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly 1.21.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 4 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | JUDY'S STAR Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MERCURIAL XB C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 7 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 117.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING STEED J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 9 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | APOLAR WARRIOR CP-/B2 T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 6 | 169.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER Led early B-/CP1/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 3 | 141.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 29.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL XB/H2 C Wong · D J Hall | C Wong | D J Hall | 13 | 46.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING STEED | 18.6% | 5.38 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | KASI FARASI | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | MERCURIAL | 10.2% | 9.76 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET | 9.9% | 10.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 9.4% | 10.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 8.1% | 12.28 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLDEN FOUR | 7.9% | 12.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.8% | 12.76 | 13 |
| 9 | 4 | JUDY'S STAR | 5.0% | 20.05 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | PEARL CHAMPION | 2.7% | 36.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.1% | 46.88 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 2.1% | 47.73 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 1.3% | 74.74 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 0.7% | 136.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32.5
PLACE
2 14.5
5 30
8 21
QUINELLA
2,5 136
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 57
2,8 47.5
5,8 123.5
FORECAST
2,5 220
TIERCE
2,5,8 1,556
TRIO
2,5,8 390
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 828
QUARTET
2,5,8,4 12,858
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/2 334
11/5 177.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,12/5,7,11/Any Combination 28,511