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Sha Tin · 2020-11-29

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly 1.21.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C H Yip 5 3.2 3/4
2 0 TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 4 11.0 3/4
3 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V Z Purton · T P Yung 10 5.1 1-1/2
4 0 JUDY'S STAR Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 8 15.0 2-1/4
5 0 MERCURIAL XB C Schofield · R Gibson 7 7.7 3
6 0 SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris 2 8.6 3
7 0 GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B Shinn · C W Chang 1 12.0 3-1/4
8 0 PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly B K H Chan · K L Man 12 117.0 3-3/4
9 0 WINNING STEED J Moreira · K H Ting 9 10.0 4-3/4
10 0 APOLAR WARRIOR CP-/B2 T Piccone · P F Yiu 6 169.0 6-1/2
11 0 HOT CHILI PEPPER Led early B-/CP1/TT V Borges · C S Shum 3 141.0 6-3/4
12 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR M L Yeung · D A Hayes 11 29.0 8-1/2
13 0 MELBOURNE HALL XB/H2 C Wong · D J Hall 13 46.0 9-1/4
14 0 COURAGEOUS DRAGON B/TT A Badel · W Y So 14 17.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KASI FARASI, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with TELECOM ROCKET second and ROBOT WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KASI FARASI—2. TELECOM ROCKET+0.75L3. ROBOT WARRIOR+1.5L4. JUDY'S STAR+2.25L5. MERCURIAL+3L6. SUPERB DADDY+3L7. GOLDEN FOUR+3.25L8. PEARL CHAMPION+3.75L9. WINNING STEED+4.75L10. APOLAR WARRIOR+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick WINNING STEED (18.6%) finished 9th — the winner KASI FARASI was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WINNING STEED 18.6% 5.38 9
2 0 KASI FARASI 13.9% 7.17 1
3 0 MERCURIAL 10.2% 9.76 5
4 0 TELECOM ROCKET 9.9% 10.08 2
5 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 9.4% 10.58 3
6 0 COURAGEOUS DRAGON 8.1% 12.28 14
7 0 GOLDEN FOUR 7.9% 12.68 7
8 0 MELBOURNE HALL 7.8% 12.76 13
9 0 JUDY'S STAR 5.0% 20.05 4
10 0 PEARL CHAMPION 2.7% 36.94 8
11 0 SUPERB DADDY 2.1% 46.88 6
12 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 2.1% 47.73 12
13 0 APOLAR WARRIOR 1.3% 74.74 10
14 0 HOT CHILI PEPPER 0.7% 136.64 11
WINNING STEEDKASI FARASI — wonMERCURIALTELECOM ROCKETROBOT WARRIORCOURAGEOUS DRAGONGOLDEN FOURMELBOURNE HALLJUDY'S STARPEARL CHAMPIONSUPERB DADDYYEE CHEONG WARRIORAPOLAR WARRIORHOT CHILI PEPPER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 32.5

PLACE

2 14.5

5 30

8 21

QUINELLA

2,5 136

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 57

2,8 47.5

5,8 123.5

FORECAST

2,5 220

TIERCE

2,5,8 1,556

TRIO

2,5,8 390

FIRST 4

2,4,5,8 828

QUARTET

2,5,8,4 12,858

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 20

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

11/2 334

11/5 177.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,8,12/5,7,11/Any Combination 28,511