Sha Tin · 2020-11-29
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Wire to wire B 1.33.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 3 | 9.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 6 | 94.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT Closed strongly B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 55.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND B-/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER HERO XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.8 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE B/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 7 | 7.9 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 404.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with LEADING FORTUNE second and EVER LAUGH third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite MASTER HERO finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 43.6% | 2.29 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 10.5% | 9.51 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 7.9% | 12.70 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 6.9% | 14.48 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.3% | 15.97 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 6.1% | 16.45 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 4.7% | 21.45 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 4.0% | 24.70 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 3.6% | 27.42 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 3.0% | 33.38 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 1.5% | 65.83 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 1.4% | 71.74 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE | 0.5% | 196.54 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 92.5
PLACE
5 27.5
7 41
11 29
QUINELLA
7,11 594
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 174
5,11 131
7,11 174.5
FORECAST
11,7 1,447
TIERCE
11,7,5 8,540
TRIO
5,7,11 1,663
FIRST 4
2,5,7,11 4,750
QUARTET
11,7,5,2 93,210
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 24
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/7 49.5
2/11 198.5