Sha Tin · 2020-11-29
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TEAM SPIRIT, ridden by T Piccone and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with LOCKHEED second and BIG FORTUNE third. The 3.0 favourite LOCKHEED finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT 1.09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | LOCKHEED B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | LIKE THAT B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | WAR OF COURAGE A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 1 | 61.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | SEA OF LIFE V1 C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 7 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | JUNEAU PARK J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 5.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ROYAL BOMB B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | BELUGA H V Borges · D J Hall | V Borges | D J Hall | 11 | 6.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL CP1 N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 8 | 78.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | BLAZING BEAT H-/CP1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 337.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | STARZ HERO H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 72.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | ARMANDO K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BIG FORTUNE | 25.8% | 3.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | JUNEAU PARK | 23.8% | 4.20 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | BELUGA | 22.6% | 4.42 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | LOCKHEED | 12.1% | 8.29 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | LIKE THAT | 5.5% | 18.27 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 2.3% | 43.19 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | SEA OF LIFE | 2.1% | 47.49 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | WAR OF COURAGE | 1.7% | 57.63 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.5% | 65.61 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | ROYAL BOMB | 1.2% | 83.40 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | STARZ HERO | 1.1% | 92.59 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | BLAZING BEAT | 0.3% | 311.29 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 208
PLACE
1 14.5
2 51
4 17.5
QUINELLA
1,2 374
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 124
1,4 27
2,4 169.5
FORECAST
2,1 708
TIERCE
2,1,4 3,132
TRIO
1,2,4 359
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 485
QUARTET
2,1,4,12 14,733
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 52.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
12/1 15
12/2 665.5