Sha Tin · 2020-11-29
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP1 1.34.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 2.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 8 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY B/H K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 3 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY STAR A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | AWE Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 2 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Led early E/B1/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 132.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 14 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 6.8 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 13 | 296.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 11 | 35.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | RUBY STARS H-/B1/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 374.0 | 16-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-29 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHEVALIER PRINCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with UNCLE STEVE second and ROMANTIC COMBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 14.8% | 6.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE | 14.8% | 6.76 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 6.9% | 14.50 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | AWE | 6.4% | 15.68 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 4.5% | 22.28 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.2% | 23.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 3.4% | 29.32 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.3% | 29.88 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 3.2% | 31.31 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.6% | 37.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY | 2.4% | 42.04 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 0.8% | 127.63 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 0.4% | 223.47 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 26
PLACE
3 21
13 26
14 12.5
QUINELLA
3,14 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,13 86
3,14 32
13,14 46.5
FORECAST
14,3 134
TIERCE
14,3,13 608
TRIO
3,13,14 178
FIRST 4
3,10,13,14 601
QUARTET
14,3,13,10 7,856
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 324.5
2/14 1,078.5