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Sha Tin · 2021-01-10

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B 1.23.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So 3 7.6 1/2
2 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung 8 12.0 1/2
3 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz 11 2.8 2-1/4
4 0 GENERAL CASTLEDALE Closed strongly B1/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan 10 156.0 3-1/4
5 0 MONEYMORE CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 9 15.0 4
6 0 EVER STRONG B C Y Ho · K L Man 4 64.0 5-1/2
7 0 LITTLE GENERAL TT M F Poon · C S Shum 5 36.0 5-1/2
8 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip 13 8.7 6-1/4
9 0 WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT J Moreira · K H Ting 6 3.1 7-1/2
10 0 TINKER BELLE Led early B T Piccone · D E Ferraris 12 300.0 7-3/4
11 0 FUN TIMES B C Schofield · A T Millard 7 18.0 7-3/4
12 0 BREAK RECORD H-/P-/CP2/TT H W Lai · L Ho 2 115.0 8-1/4
13 0 FRESH POWER Closed strongly TT2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui 14 57.0 8-1/2
14 0 TARGET FINDER H/XB H T Mo · C W Chang 1 56.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-10 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER ERA, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with CITY LEGEND second and CALIFORNIA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CALIFORNIA LEGEND finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER ERA—2. CITY LEGEND+0.5L3. CALIFORNIA LEGEND+2.25L4. GENERAL CASTLEDALE+3.25L5. MONEYMORE+4L6. EVER STRONG+5.5L7. LITTLE GENERAL+5.5L8. VICTORIOUS LEADER+6.25L9. WONDER EXPRESS+7.5L10. TINKER BELLE+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick WONDER EXPRESS (21.2%) finished 9th — the winner COPARTNER ERA was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WONDER EXPRESS 21.2% 4.73 9
2 0 COPARTNER ERA 14.0% 7.14 1
3 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER 12.0% 8.36 8
4 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND 10.9% 9.19 3
5 0 LITTLE GENERAL 10.0% 9.97 7
6 0 FUN TIMES 7.7% 13.03 11
7 0 CITY LEGEND 6.1% 16.28 2
8 0 MONEYMORE 4.9% 20.52 5
9 0 TARGET FINDER 3.7% 27.31 14
10 0 EVER STRONG 2.7% 36.57 6
11 0 GENERAL CASTLEDALE 2.1% 46.81 4
12 0 FRESH POWER 1.9% 51.39 13
13 0 TINKER BELLE 1.6% 64.42 10
14 0 BREAK RECORD 1.2% 80.89 12
WONDER EXPRESSCOPARTNER ERA — wonVICTORIOUS LEADERCALIFORNIA LEGENDLITTLE GENERALFUN TIMESCITY LEGENDMONEYMORETARGET FINDEREVER STRONGGENERAL CASTLEDALEFRESH POWERTINKER BELLEBREAK RECORD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 76

PLACE

2 20

4 38

5 13

QUINELLA

2,4 308.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 105.5

2,5 39

4,5 58.5

FORECAST

2,4 775

TIERCE

2,4,5 2,810

TRIO

2,4,5 468

FIRST 4

2,4,5,12 7,001

QUARTET

2,4,5,12 129,213

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/2 140.5

4/4 44

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 30.5