Sha Tin · 2021-01-10
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-10 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER ERA, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with CITY LEGEND second and CALIFORNIA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CALIFORNIA LEGEND finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B 1.23.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 11 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE Closed strongly B1/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 156.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MONEYMORE CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | EVER STRONG B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 64.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | LITTLE GENERAL TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 8.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 6 | 3.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | TINKER BELLE Led early B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 12 | 300.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FUN TIMES B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 7 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BREAK RECORD H-/P-/CP2/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 2 | 115.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | FRESH POWER Closed strongly TT2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 14 | 57.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | TARGET FINDER H/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 56.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDER EXPRESS | 21.2% | 4.73 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | COPARTNER ERA | 14.0% | 7.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 12.0% | 8.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 10.9% | 9.19 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | LITTLE GENERAL | 10.0% | 9.97 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | FUN TIMES | 7.7% | 13.03 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | CITY LEGEND | 6.1% | 16.28 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | MONEYMORE | 4.9% | 20.52 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | TARGET FINDER | 3.7% | 27.31 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | EVER STRONG | 2.7% | 36.57 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 2.1% | 46.81 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | FRESH POWER | 1.9% | 51.39 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | TINKER BELLE | 1.6% | 64.42 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | BREAK RECORD | 1.2% | 80.89 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 76
PLACE
2 20
4 38
5 13
QUINELLA
2,4 308.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 105.5
2,5 39
4,5 58.5
FORECAST
2,4 775
TIERCE
2,4,5 2,810
TRIO
2,4,5 468
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 7,001
QUARTET
2,4,5,12 129,213
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 140.5
4/4 44
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30.5