Sha Tin · 2021-01-10
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B 1.22.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 6 | 5.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 3 | 32.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 50.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY Led early H/P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT C Soumillon · F C Lor | C Soumillon | F C Lor | 9 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B2 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 14 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 114.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY B- N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | UNIVERSAL RECORD C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 4 | 152.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING STEED CP Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 6.8 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | VECTOR H/CP1/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 62.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 338.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | QUICK REPLY B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 274.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-10 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SPEED FAY FAY, ridden by C Schofield and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with PEARL CHAMPION second and GREEN ENVY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite GREEN ENVY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN ENVY | 31.3% | 3.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 16.8% | 5.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING STEED | 14.6% | 6.85 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 8.2% | 12.18 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 5.9% | 16.94 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 5.8% | 17.35 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.1% | 19.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY | 4.5% | 22.39 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.4% | 29.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | VECTOR | 1.6% | 60.72 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 1.2% | 82.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 0.6% | 165.20 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | QUICK REPLY | 0.5% | 185.41 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.4% | 225.67 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 59
PLACE
3 17
11 62
13 13.5
QUINELLA
3,11 741
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 190.5
3,13 29.5
11,13 123.5
FORECAST
3,11 1,163
TIERCE
3,11,13 5,375
TRIO
3,11,13 469
FIRST 4
3,11,12,13 5,092
QUARTET
3,11,13,12 114,850
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/3,11,13 23,075
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 997.5
9/11 788