沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 4場
2021-01-10沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、T P Yung訓練的SPEED FAY FAY勝出，贏出N。PEARL CHAMPION獲得亞軍；GREEN ENVY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門GREEN ENVY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B 1.22.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 6 | 5.9 | N |
| 2 | 11 | PEARL CHAMPION 後段發力 B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 3 | 32.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | GREEN ENVY 後段發力 V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | THUNDER STOMP B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 50.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | COUNTRY BOY 早段領放 H/P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | JOYFUL HEART 後段發力 CP/TT C Soumillon · F C Lor | C Soumillon | F C Lor | 9 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 B2 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 14 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 114.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY B- N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | UNIVERSAL RECORD C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 4 | 152.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | WINNING STEED CP Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 6.8 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | VECTOR H/CP1/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 62.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | MULTIPLE STAR H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 338.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | QUICK REPLY B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 274.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GREEN ENVY | 31.3% | 3.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY | 16.8% | 5.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | WINNING STEED | 14.6% | 6.85 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | JOYFUL HEART | 8.2% | 12.18 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY | 5.9% | 16.94 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | PEARL CHAMPION | 5.8% | 17.35 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.1% | 19.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | COUNTRY BOY | 4.5% | 22.39 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.4% | 29.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | VECTOR | 1.6% | 60.72 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 1.2% | 82.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 0.6% | 165.20 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | QUICK REPLY | 0.5% | 185.41 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.4% | 225.67 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 59
PLACE
3 17
11 62
13 13.5
QUINELLA
3,11 741
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 190.5
3,13 29.5
11,13 123.5
FORECAST
3,11 1,163
TIERCE
3,11,13 5,375
TRIO
3,11,13 469
FIRST 4
3,11,12,13 5,092
QUARTET
3,11,13,12 114,850
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/3,11,13 23,075
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 997.5
9/11 788