沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 7場
2021-01-10沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SIGHT SUCCESS勝出，贏出1-1/2。TORNADO TWIST獲得亞軍；PRIVATE ROCKET獲得季軍。頭馬以1.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SIGHT SUCCESS E 1.09.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 1.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | TORNADO TWIST B/TT C Soumillon · F C Lor | C Soumillon | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 145.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUNSET WATCH K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | FARSHAD CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 9 | 149.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MERIDIAN GENIUS CP C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 6 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUNG PASSION M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 88.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | CIRCUIT SIX B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 224.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | JUST NOT LISTENING V M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 268.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | SKY SHOW V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 66.9% | 1.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUNSET WATCH | 9.0% | 11.16 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 5.5% | 18.13 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | TORNADO TWIST | 5.3% | 18.71 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 2.6% | 38.03 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | CIRCUIT SIX | 2.5% | 40.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | YOUNG PASSION | 2.1% | 46.84 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.1% | 47.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | FARSHAD | 1.8% | 55.08 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 0.9% | 105.94 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL | 0.8% | 129.92 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 0.5% | 215.44 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 11.5
PLACE
2 27
3 19
11 10.1
QUINELLA
3,11 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 74
2,11 29
3,11 20
FORECAST
11,3 54
TIERCE
11,3,2 207
TRIO
2,3,11 116
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 800
QUARTET
11,3,2,8 4,115
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/2,3,11 11,313
3 PICK 1
A1 11.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 55
3/11 89