沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 5場
2021-01-10沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的LIKE THAT勝出，贏出SH。NOBLE DESIRE獲得亞軍；UNITED WE STAND獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIKE THAT B-/V1 0.57.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 3.1 | SH |
| 2 | 14 | NOBLE DESIRE V/XB M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 5 | 20.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 2 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | AMAZING ROCKY H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GRACYLOVE K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 13 | 74.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | GOKO B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MOERAKI H-/B2 C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 12 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 54.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SIGHT HERO CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | HOLYSHOWCASING A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 7 | 104.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 11 | 27.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | STORMTROUPER CP1/TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 14.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIKE THAT | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING ROCKY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND | 14.8% | 6.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | STORMTROUPER | 10.2% | 9.81 | 14 |
| 5 | 6 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 8.0% | 12.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | NOBLE DESIRE | 5.3% | 19.04 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | GOKO | 4.0% | 24.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 3.8% | 26.13 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 3.3% | 29.95 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | MOERAKI | 3.1% | 32.51 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY TANGO | 2.4% | 41.04 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | SIGHT HERO | 2.4% | 41.98 | 10 |
| 13 | 3 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.2% | 45.92 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | GRACYLOVE | 1.7% | 59.27 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 31.5
PLACE
1 15.5
4 21
14 47.5
QUINELLA
1,14 319
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 43.5
1,14 109.5
4,14 168
FORECAST
1,14 481
TIERCE
1,14,4 3,050
TRIO
1,4,14 461
FIRST 4
1,4,6,14 1,320
QUARTET
1,14,4,6 21,772
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 202.5
3/14 301.5