沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 2場
2021-01-10沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、W Y So訓練的COPARTNER ERA勝出，贏出1/2。CITY LEGEND獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門CALIFORNIA LEGEND跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COPARTNER ERA 後段發力 B 1.23.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND 後段發力 TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 11 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE 後段發力 B1/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 156.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MONEYMORE CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | EVER STRONG B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 64.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | LITTLE GENERAL TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 8.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 6 | 3.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | TINKER BELLE 早段領放 B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 12 | 300.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FUN TIMES B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 7 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BREAK RECORD H-/P-/CP2/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 2 | 115.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | FRESH POWER 後段發力 TT2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 14 | 57.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | TARGET FINDER H/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 56.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDER EXPRESS | 21.2% | 4.73 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | COPARTNER ERA | 14.0% | 7.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 12.0% | 8.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 10.9% | 9.19 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | LITTLE GENERAL | 10.0% | 9.97 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | FUN TIMES | 7.7% | 13.03 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | CITY LEGEND | 6.1% | 16.28 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | MONEYMORE | 4.9% | 20.52 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | TARGET FINDER | 3.7% | 27.31 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | EVER STRONG | 2.7% | 36.57 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 2.1% | 46.81 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | FRESH POWER | 1.9% | 51.39 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | TINKER BELLE | 1.6% | 64.42 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | BREAK RECORD | 1.2% | 80.89 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 76
PLACE
2 20
4 38
5 13
QUINELLA
2,4 308.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 105.5
2,5 39
4,5 58.5
FORECAST
2,4 775
TIERCE
2,4,5 2,810
TRIO
2,4,5 468
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 7,001
QUARTET
2,4,5,12 129,213
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 140.5
4/4 44
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30.5