沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 9場
2021-01-10沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的SUPER FOOTBALL勝出，贏出N。BEAUTY DAY獲得亞軍；ENTRUSTED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER FOOTBALL 後段發力 1.34.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY DAY B/H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 2 | 45.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 XB-/V1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD 後段發力 C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SAVAQUIN K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | TELECOM FIGHTERS 後段發力 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 138.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN SR B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 62.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP-/B1/TT1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 3.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CASIMIRO 後段發力 V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 9.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | SMOOTHIES 早段領放 B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 12 | 56.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 41.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | A A AGILITY B1/TT C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 14 | 396.0 | 21-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 31.6% | 3.17 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 14.7% | 6.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SAVAQUIN | 9.5% | 10.49 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | CASIMIRO | 9.2% | 10.83 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 8.7% | 11.45 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD | 6.3% | 15.78 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY DAY | 4.3% | 23.47 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | SMOOTHIES | 4.1% | 24.58 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 3.5% | 28.53 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 2.9% | 34.60 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | CHATER PINS | 1.6% | 60.87 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 1.5% | 64.99 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | ENTRUSTED | 1.5% | 65.51 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | A A AGILITY | 0.4% | 225.92 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 35
PLACE
5 16.5
8 48.5
9 54.5
QUINELLA
5,8 384.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 136.5
5,9 242
8,9 696.5
FORECAST
5,8 553
TIERCE
5,8,9 11,688
TRIO
5,8,9 4,705
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 7,380
QUARTET
5,8,9,3 106,813
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 21
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/5 206
1/8 361.5