沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 6場
2021-01-10沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的LEADING FORTUNE勝出，贏出N。CHEERFUL DAYS獲得亞軍；FAMILY LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門DECISIVE ACTION跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 1.34.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 4 | CHEERFUL DAYS 後段發力 B1 J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | FAMILY LEADER 後段發力 B T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 9 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | RAINBOW LIGHT 後段發力 XB/CP1/SB1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 156.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 CP K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 128.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | DECISIVE ACTION CP1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | APOLAR WARRIOR 後段發力 V M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 14 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | JIMMU SR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 68.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | BRAVE POWER B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.8 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | RED MAJESTY CP C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 217.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | RUN RUN GOOD CP C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 198.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 22.5% | 4.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 18.5% | 5.40 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | DECISIVE ACTION | 12.3% | 8.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | STUNNING IMPACT | 8.1% | 12.41 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | BRAVE POWER | 6.0% | 16.63 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | FAMILY LEADER | 6.0% | 16.71 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | JIMMU | 5.6% | 17.72 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | LIGHT MY DAY | 3.5% | 28.35 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.1% | 46.76 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | RUN RUN GOOD | 2.1% | 47.23 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 1.8% | 54.97 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 1.6% | 60.80 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | RED MAJESTY | 1.3% | 74.90 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 64
PLACE
3 17.5
4 15
7 68.5
QUINELLA
3,4 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51.5
3,7 293.5
4,7 148
FORECAST
3,4 280
TIERCE
3,4,7 4,861
TRIO
3,4,7 1,052
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 13,648
QUARTET
3,4,7,8 196,018
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 188
1/4 19.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,11,13/1,4,14/3,4,7 5,707,725
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,11,13/1,4,14/Any Combination 4,837