Sha Tin · 2021-01-10
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly 1.34.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B1 J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 9 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly XB/CP1/SB1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 156.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly CP K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 128.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION CP1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR Closed strongly V M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 14 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JIMMU SR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 68.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BRAVE POWER B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.8 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | RED MAJESTY CP C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 217.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD CP C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 198.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-10 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by N, with CHEERFUL DAYS second and FAMILY LEADER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite DECISIVE ACTION finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 22.5% | 4.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 18.5% | 5.40 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 12.3% | 8.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 8.1% | 12.41 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 6.0% | 16.63 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 6.0% | 16.71 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | JIMMU | 5.6% | 17.72 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 3.5% | 28.35 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.1% | 46.76 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 2.1% | 47.23 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 1.8% | 54.97 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 1.6% | 60.80 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 1.3% | 74.90 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 64
PLACE
3 17.5
4 15
7 68.5
QUINELLA
3,4 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51.5
3,7 293.5
4,7 148
FORECAST
3,4 280
TIERCE
3,4,7 4,861
TRIO
3,4,7 1,052
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 13,648
QUARTET
3,4,7,8 196,018
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 188
1/4 19.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,11,13/1,4,14/3,4,7 5,707,725
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,11,13/1,4,14/Any Combination 4,837