沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 8場
2021-01-10沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的SILVER FIG勝出，贏出1/2。GUNNAR獲得亞軍；GOLFMAN STAR獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門SUPER ALLIANCES跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SILVER FIG B/TT 1.08.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | GUNNAR TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | GOLFMAN STAR K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 9 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 54.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SO WE JOY CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 172.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY AND RICH Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | BLOTTING PAPER B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 8 | 39.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER POWER MAN C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 7.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | EXCEED THE STARS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 21.0% | 4.76 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | KEEP YOU WARM | 18.8% | 5.31 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 11.1% | 8.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | HARMONY AND RICH | 10.0% | 9.96 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER POWER MAN | 7.2% | 13.90 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | GUNNAR | 6.4% | 15.73 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | SILVER FIG | 6.0% | 16.76 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | BLOTTING PAPER | 5.2% | 19.18 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | GOLFMAN STAR | 4.7% | 21.42 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | EXCEED THE STARS | 4.0% | 24.76 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 4.0% | 24.92 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | SO WE JOY | 1.5% | 65.83 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 87
PLACE
1 27
3 18.5
9 47
QUINELLA
1,3 308
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 110.5
1,9 232.5
3,9 143.5
FORECAST
1,3 740
TIERCE
1,3,9 9,201
TRIO
1,3,9 1,395
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 10,757
QUARTET
1,3,9,10 195,822
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29
7TH DOUBLE
11/1 66
11/3 19.5