沙田 · 2021-01-10
第 3場
2021-01-10沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由B Shinn策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的SUPREME PATROL勝出，贏出1-1/2。JADE THEATRE獲得亞軍；TREASURE CHEST獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門TREASURE CHEST跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPREME PATROL B/TT 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | JADE THEATRE B2 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 5 | 1.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GREAT SON V/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | STRATHCLYDE CP/TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 2 | 6.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY WINNER P H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 4 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | DASHING GRACE V/TT2 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 267.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CORRE RAPIDO B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PLANET FLYER B C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 9 | 218.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TREASURE CHEST | 27.9% | 3.58 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | MOON PEAKS | 12.7% | 7.87 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | JADE THEATRE | 10.9% | 9.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | GREAT SON | 10.6% | 9.41 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | STRATHCLYDE | 10.0% | 10.04 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 8.8% | 11.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCKY TURBO | 7.3% | 13.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | CORRE RAPIDO | 3.8% | 26.06 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPREME PATROL | 2.8% | 35.57 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY WINNER | 2.0% | 51.16 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | DASHING GRACE | 2.0% | 51.20 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | PLANET FLYER | 1.2% | 83.26 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 171.5
PLACE
1 19.5
5 12
9 39
QUINELLA
1,9 430.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 33
1,9 141
5,9 57.5
FORECAST
9,1 1,228
TIERCE
9,1,5 3,984
TRIO
1,5,9 378
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 607
QUARTET
9,1,5,3 22,791
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 60
2/9 1,186.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 36