Sha Tin · 2021-01-17
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-17 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SHANGHAI DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with MANNA FROM HEAVEN second and SMART THINKER third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite DAILY CHARM finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Wire to wire B 1.36.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 5 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN Closed strongly H C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 7 | 224.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SMART THINKER Closed strongly TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SANGRIA Closed strongly B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 66.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | WONDER WIN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 9 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SPEED FORCE XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS WIN V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 20.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 12.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | ROCKET HAMMER Closed strongly H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 11 | 183.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 3 | EASY DAZZLING P-/H/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 13 | 316.0 | 29-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PRIME TIME H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAILY CHARM | 32.0% | 3.12 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | WONDER WIN | 9.0% | 11.12 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | SPEED FORCE | 8.4% | 11.84 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.97 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART THINKER | 5.1% | 19.43 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | TAILOR MADE | 3.7% | 27.11 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 3.7% | 27.34 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 2.5% | 40.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SANGRIA | 2.0% | 49.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 1.6% | 63.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 1.6% | 64.36 | 2 |
| 13 | 13 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.8% | 133.14 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | EASY DAZZLING | 0.3% | 308.42 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 66.5
PLACE
5 16
10 26.5
12 485.5
QUINELLA
5,12 6,877
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 80
5,12 1,513
10,12 2,098
FORECAST
5,12 4,921
TIERCE
5,12,10 97,780
TRIO
5,10,12 17,022
FIRST 4
5,8,10,12 66,301
QUARTET
5,12,10,8 1,276,290
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28
A3 —