Sha Tin · 2021-01-17
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-17 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HONGKONG GREAT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C S Shum, won by 4-1/4, with PING HAI TREASURE second and PARTY EVERYDAY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.2 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HONGKONG GREAT Wire to wire B/TT 1.37.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT Closed strongly CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | NOTHING NEW H V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 9 | 71.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | FOODIE PRINCESS Closed strongly TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 7 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 5.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 25.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 8.6 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIZ POWER B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 11.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 58.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly B-/TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 14 | 34.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | CONQUEROR B1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 55.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 13 | RUBY STARS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 289.0 | 19-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | PING HAI TREASURE | 17.4% | 5.76 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 9.6% | 10.41 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | BIZ POWER | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR | 7.5% | 13.42 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 7.2% | 13.93 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS | 6.7% | 14.93 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 6.6% | 15.16 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | JOLLY HONOUR | 4.9% | 20.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 4.4% | 22.80 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | HONGKONG GREAT | 4.0% | 24.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | CONQUEROR | 2.5% | 40.60 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | NOTHING NEW | 1.6% | 61.58 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | RUBY STARS | 0.5% | 198.37 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 169.5
PLACE
7 65
9 26
12 13
QUINELLA
7,9 884
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 219
7,12 137
9,12 49
FORECAST
7,9 1,252
TIERCE
7,9,12 5,057
TRIO
7,9,12 649
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 1,621
QUARTET
7,9,12,6 50,285
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/7 1,978.5
1/9 93.5