沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 8場
2021-01-17沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Hamelin策騎、C S Shum訓練的HONGKONG GREAT勝出，贏出4-1/4。PING HAI TREASURE獲得亞軍；PARTY EVERYDAY獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.2倍大熱門PARTY EVERYDAY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HONGKONG GREAT 一路領先 B/TT 1.37.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT 後段發力 CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | NOTHING NEW H V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 9 | 71.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | FOODIE PRINCESS 後段發力 TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 7 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 5.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 25.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 8.6 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIZ POWER B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 11.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 58.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 B-/TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 14 | 34.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | CONQUEROR B1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 55.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 13 | RUBY STARS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 289.0 | 19-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | PING HAI TREASURE | 17.4% | 5.76 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 9.6% | 10.41 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | BIZ POWER | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR | 7.5% | 13.42 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 7.2% | 13.93 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS | 6.7% | 14.93 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 6.6% | 15.16 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | JOLLY HONOUR | 4.9% | 20.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 4.4% | 22.80 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | HONGKONG GREAT | 4.0% | 24.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | CONQUEROR | 2.5% | 40.60 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | NOTHING NEW | 1.6% | 61.58 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | RUBY STARS | 0.5% | 198.37 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 169.5
PLACE
7 65
9 26
12 13
QUINELLA
7,9 884
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 219
7,12 137
9,12 49
FORECAST
7,9 1,252
TIERCE
7,9,12 5,057
TRIO
7,9,12 649
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 1,621
QUARTET
7,9,12,6 50,285
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/7 1,978.5
1/9 93.5