沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 9場
2021-01-17沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY APPLAUSE勝出，贏出1/2。WELLINGTON獲得亞軍；LARSON獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門WELLINGTON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT 0.56.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | WELLINGTON Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 10 | 1.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | LARSON CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 13 | 27.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | MULTIMILLION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | GREEN AEON TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 8 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 41.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CZARSON CP/TT B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 3 | 82.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | VICTORIAM N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 5 | 128.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | JOYFUL UNION CP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 71.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 9 | 64.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | PERPETUUM TT1 T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 2 | 78.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | WINNER SUPREME H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 37.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WELLINGTON | 41.2% | 2.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 8.0% | 12.58 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | MASSIVE POCKET | 5.9% | 17.07 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | MULTIMILLION | 5.7% | 17.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNER SUPREME | 4.2% | 23.64 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | MEGA HEART | 4.0% | 25.09 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | LARSON | 3.7% | 27.29 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | GREEN AEON | 3.0% | 33.57 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | CZARSON | 2.9% | 34.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | VICTORIAM | 2.3% | 42.58 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 2.2% | 46.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | JOYFUL UNION | 2.0% | 50.57 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | PERPETUUM | 2.0% | 50.71 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 65.5
PLACE
4 19
5 11
13 49
QUINELLA
4,5 50.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 25
4,13 147.5
5,13 60
FORECAST
4,5 159
TIERCE
4,5,13 1,580
TRIO
4,5,13 258
FIRST 4
4,5,8,13 384
QUARTET
4,5,13,8 11,094
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,166
7/5 92.5