沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 5場
2021-01-17沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、T P Yung訓練的NEW FUTURE勝出，贏出1-3/4。CLASSIC POSH獲得亞軍；SUPER RED DRAGON獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門TOUCH FAITH跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NEW FUTURE B/TT 1.09.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 8 | 75.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 5 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | GALACTIC C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 14 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | RUN THE TABLE H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 7.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | ALL BEST FRIENDS H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 4 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | DANDY YEARS B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SUNDAY BETTING V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | TOUCH FAITH P1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 4.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GLADSOME RYDER V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 1 | 174.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | ALLOY KING CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 78.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | MULTIMORE B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 89.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | STEEL WIN A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 22.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | LITTLE PLAYER CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 5.8 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOUCH FAITH | 30.1% | 3.32 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 14.3% | 7.00 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | LITTLE PLAYER | 10.1% | 9.88 | 14 |
| 4 | 13 | RUN THE TABLE | 9.8% | 10.17 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | GLADSOME RYDER | 6.3% | 15.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 5.9% | 16.85 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | DANDY YEARS | 5.9% | 16.87 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | GALACTIC | 5.7% | 17.54 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | STEEL WIN | 4.0% | 25.04 | 13 |
| 10 | 9 | MULTIMORE | 2.7% | 36.50 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.4% | 41.91 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | SUNDAY BETTING | 1.0% | 95.66 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | ALLOY KING | 0.9% | 115.76 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | NEW FUTURE | 0.8% | 131.63 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 759.5
PLACE
1 23.5
3 33
6 155.5
QUINELLA
1,6 2,600.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 101
1,6 662.5
3,6 864.5
FORECAST
6,1 4,858
TIERCE
6,1,3 38,628
TRIO
1,3,6 5,772
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 5,040
QUARTET
6,1,3,2 181,743
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 18
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 145
11/6 7,580.5