沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 10場
2021-01-17沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、J Size訓練的TEMPEST EXPRESS勝出，贏出1-1/4。THE HULK獲得亞軍；MY SUGAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門MY SUGAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 B-/E/TT 1.21.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | THE HULK 後段發力 H-/PC-/V2 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 9.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | MY SUGAR CP K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 14 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | ROMANTIC COMBO 後段發力 CP-/B2/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 12 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TELECOM CHEETAH 後段發力 P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 245.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | VITRALITE 後段發力 H-/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG 早段領放 B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RIGHT CHOICE 後段發力 B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SPARKY TRAIL V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | AMARA WIN T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | TALENTI 後段發力 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | MING WARRIOR TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 175.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | SMART FOLKS XB N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 2 | 180.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ABLE REIGN B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 31.1% | 3.21 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | MY SUGAR | 28.0% | 3.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 8.1% | 12.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | THE HULK | 7.1% | 14.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.1% | 16.48 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | TALENTI | 4.9% | 20.44 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | RIGHT CHOICE | 3.7% | 27.00 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 3.3% | 30.35 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKY TRAIL | 2.6% | 38.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | VITRALITE | 1.9% | 53.97 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | AMARA WIN | 1.7% | 59.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | MING WARRIOR | 0.6% | 171.19 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.5% | 182.01 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | SMART FOLKS | 0.5% | 198.30 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 108
PLACE
10 24
11 15
13 35.5
QUINELLA
10,13 735
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 55
10,13 190
11,13 76.5
FORECAST
13,10 1,543
TIERCE
13,10,11 6,500
TRIO
10,11,13 700
FIRST 4
10,11,13,14 677
QUARTET
13,10,11,14 23,837
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,13/10,11,13 21,952
9TH DOUBLE
4/10 111.5
4/13 865.5
SIX UP
1,6/5,11/1,3/7,9/4,5/10,13 186,679
7 [A Hamelin] —
TREBLE
7/4/10 1,712
7/4/13 15,635