沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 6場
2021-01-17沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C W Chang訓練的FAMILY FOLKS勝出，贏出SH。HOT CHILI PEPPER獲得亞軍；SMART WONGCHOY獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門EVERYONE'S DELIGHT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FAMILY FOLKS 1.10.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 14.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | HOT CHILI PEPPER CP/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 23.0 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | SMART WONGCHOY H M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT CP-/B1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 1.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 2 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 7 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | INNO LEGEND CP K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 6 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | LITTLE THUNDER B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 1 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VICTORIA GENERAL H B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LEISURE AND GOLD H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 148.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | CIRCUIT HERO N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 10 | 141.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | HAPPY WARRIOR H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 101.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | FORZA SPEEDO M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 13 | 140.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 31.2% | 3.21 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | INNO LEGEND | 13.6% | 7.34 | 8 |
| 3 | 13 | SMART WONGCHOY | 7.9% | 12.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR | 6.7% | 14.98 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | FAMILY FOLKS | 5.7% | 17.40 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | CIRCUIT HERO | 5.7% | 17.52 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 5.2% | 19.18 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | VICTORIA GENERAL | 4.4% | 22.87 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | VOYAGE STAR | 4.4% | 22.96 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | LITTLE THUNDER | 4.4% | 22.97 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | FORZA SPEEDO | 3.7% | 27.04 | 14 |
| 12 | 2 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 2.6% | 38.50 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 2.6% | 38.64 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 2.0% | 50.45 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 148.5
PLACE
5 46
11 55.5
13 24
QUINELLA
5,11 2,446.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 583.5
5,13 272
11,13 280
FORECAST
5,11 4,301
TIERCE
5,11,13 45,581
TRIO
5,11,13 5,798
FIRST 4
1,5,11,13 2,704
QUARTET
5,11,13,1 127,098
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 35.5
5TH DOUBLE
6/5 14,018.5
6/11 4,514.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,11/1,3,6/Any Combination 19,207