沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 1場
2021-01-17沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、T P Yung訓練的SHANGHAI DRAGON勝出，贏出3/4。MANNA FROM HEAVEN獲得亞軍；SMART THINKER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.4倍大熱門DAILY CHARM跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHANGHAI DRAGON 一路領先 B 1.36.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 5 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN 後段發力 H C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 7 | 224.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SMART THINKER 後段發力 TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SANGRIA 後段發力 B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 66.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | DAILY CHARM 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | WONDER WIN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 9 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SPEED FORCE XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS WIN V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 20.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 12.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | ROCKET HAMMER 後段發力 H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 11 | 183.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 3 | EASY DAZZLING P-/H/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 13 | 316.0 | 29-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PRIME TIME H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAILY CHARM | 32.0% | 3.12 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | WONDER WIN | 9.0% | 11.12 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | SPEED FORCE | 8.4% | 11.84 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.97 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART THINKER | 5.1% | 19.43 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | TAILOR MADE | 3.7% | 27.11 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 3.7% | 27.34 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 2.5% | 40.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SANGRIA | 2.0% | 49.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 1.6% | 63.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 1.6% | 64.36 | 2 |
| 13 | 13 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.8% | 133.14 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | EASY DAZZLING | 0.3% | 308.42 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 66.5
PLACE
5 16
10 26.5
12 485.5
QUINELLA
5,12 6,877
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 80
5,12 1,513
10,12 2,098
FORECAST
5,12 4,921
TIERCE
5,12,10 97,780
TRIO
5,10,12 17,022
FIRST 4
5,8,10,12 66,301
QUARTET
5,12,10,8 1,276,290
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28
A3 —