沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 2場
2021-01-17沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GOLDEN LINK勝出，贏出HD。SAM'S LOVE獲得亞軍；GOLD 'N' BOLD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門SUPER TEN跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK 後段發力 B- 1.23.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 15.0 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | SAM'S LOVE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 6 | 6.9 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | GOLD 'N' BOLD V V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 156.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | CHAMPION PRIDE TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 7 | 39.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER TEN 早段領放 XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | LAND POWER 後段發力 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SAVVY KINGMAN 後段發力 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 3 | 99.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | STRONG ALLIANCE N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 1 | 212.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STARSHIP 後段發力 B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | SWEETLY BABY 後段發力 V/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 83.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | PACKING MILES 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 12 | 163.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | ALL YOU WANT TT1 T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 4 | 210.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | KING'S HORN B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 13 | 286.0 | 20 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER TEN | 29.6% | 3.38 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | SAM'S LOVE | 19.6% | 5.11 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | SUN OF MAKFI | 12.8% | 7.84 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | LAND POWER | 8.4% | 11.84 | 7 |
| 5 | 14 | SWEETLY BABY | 7.0% | 14.28 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK | 6.4% | 15.53 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | ALL YOU WANT | 4.9% | 20.53 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 | STARSHIP | 3.2% | 31.10 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 2.5% | 40.15 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | KING'S HORN | 1.5% | 68.62 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 1.4% | 70.60 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | PACKING MILES | 1.1% | 93.58 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 1.0% | 98.76 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 0.7% | 153.59 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 156.5
PLACE
2 37.5
10 18.5
12 183.5
QUINELLA
2,10 471.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 132.5
2,12 908.5
10,12 578
FORECAST
2,10 892
TIERCE
2,10,12 61,497
TRIO
2,10,12 12,028
FIRST 4
2,10,11,12 17,964
QUARTET
2,10,12,11 493,721
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 707
5/10 71.5
3 PICK 1
A2 31
A3 —
A1 —