Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-01-17

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly B- 1.23.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu 5 15.0 HD
2 0 SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C H Yip 6 6.9 HD
3 0 GOLD 'N' BOLD V V Borges · W Y So 8 156.0 1/2
4 0 CHAMPION PRIDE TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris 7 39.0 3/4
5 0 SUPER TEN Led early XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 9 2.0 3/4
6 0 SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 2 3.3 1-3/4
7 0 LAND POWER Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard 10 8.9 3
8 0 SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly M L Yeung · F C Lor 3 99.0 3-1/4
9 0 STRONG ALLIANCE N Callan · K H Ting 1 212.0 4-1/4
10 0 STARSHIP Closed strongly B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan 11 30.0 5
11 0 SWEETLY BABY Closed strongly V/TT C Wong · C Fownes 14 83.0 5
12 0 PACKING MILES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 12 163.0 12
13 0 ALL YOU WANT TT1 T Piccone · R Gibson 4 210.0 13-3/4
14 0 KING'S HORN B H T Mo · L Ho 13 286.0 20

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-17 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN LINK, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with SAM'S LOVE second and GOLD 'N' BOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SUPER TEN finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN LINK—2. SAM'S LOVE+0.2L3. GOLD 'N' BOLD+0.5L4. CHAMPION PRIDE+0.75L5. SUPER TEN+0.75L6. SUN OF MAKFI+1.75L7. LAND POWER+3L8. SAVVY KINGMAN+3.25L9. STRONG ALLIANCE+4.25L10. STARSHIP+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SUPER TEN (29.6%) finished 5th — the winner GOLDEN LINK was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER TEN 29.6% 3.38 5
2 0 SAM'S LOVE 19.6% 5.11 2
3 0 SUN OF MAKFI 12.8% 7.84 6
4 0 LAND POWER 8.4% 11.84 7
5 0 SWEETLY BABY 7.0% 14.28 11
6 0 GOLDEN LINK 6.4% 15.53 1
7 0 ALL YOU WANT 4.9% 20.53 13
8 0 STARSHIP 3.2% 31.10 10
9 0 CHAMPION PRIDE 2.5% 40.15 4
10 0 KING'S HORN 1.5% 68.62 14
11 0 GOLD 'N' BOLD 1.4% 70.60 3
12 0 PACKING MILES 1.1% 93.58 12
13 0 SAVVY KINGMAN 1.0% 98.76 8
14 0 STRONG ALLIANCE 0.7% 153.59 9
SUPER TENSAM'S LOVESUN OF MAKFILAND POWERSWEETLY BABYGOLDEN LINK — wonALL YOU WANTSTARSHIPCHAMPION PRIDEKING'S HORNGOLD 'N' BOLDPACKING MILESSAVVY KINGMANSTRONG ALLIANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 156.5

PLACE

2 37.5

10 18.5

12 183.5

QUINELLA

2,10 471.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 132.5

2,12 908.5

10,12 578

FORECAST

2,10 892

TIERCE

2,10,12 61,497

TRIO

2,10,12 12,028

FIRST 4

2,10,11,12 17,964

QUARTET

2,10,12,11 493,721

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/2 707

5/10 71.5

3 PICK 1

A2 31

A3 —

A1 —