Sha Tin · 2021-01-17
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-17 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEMPEST EXPRESS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with THE HULK second and MY SUGAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite MY SUGAR finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly B-/E/TT 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | THE HULK Closed strongly H-/PC-/V2 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 9.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | MY SUGAR CP K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 14 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 12 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 245.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | VITRALITE Closed strongly H-/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Led early B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RIGHT CHOICE Closed strongly B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SPARKY TRAIL V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | AMARA WIN T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | TALENTI Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | MING WARRIOR TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 175.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | SMART FOLKS XB N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 2 | 180.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ABLE REIGN B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 31.1% | 3.21 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | MY SUGAR | 28.0% | 3.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 8.1% | 12.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | THE HULK | 7.1% | 14.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.1% | 16.48 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | TALENTI | 4.9% | 20.44 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | RIGHT CHOICE | 3.7% | 27.00 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 3.3% | 30.35 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKY TRAIL | 2.6% | 38.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | VITRALITE | 1.9% | 53.97 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | AMARA WIN | 1.7% | 59.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | MING WARRIOR | 0.6% | 171.19 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.5% | 182.01 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | SMART FOLKS | 0.5% | 198.30 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 108
PLACE
10 24
11 15
13 35.5
QUINELLA
10,13 735
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 55
10,13 190
11,13 76.5
FORECAST
13,10 1,543
TIERCE
13,10,11 6,500
TRIO
10,11,13 700
FIRST 4
10,11,13,14 677
QUARTET
13,10,11,14 23,837
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,13/10,11,13 21,952
9TH DOUBLE
4/10 111.5
4/13 865.5
SIX UP
1,6/5,11/1,3/7,9/4,5/10,13 186,679
7 [A Hamelin] —
TREBLE
7/4/10 1,712
7/4/13 15,635