沙田 · 2021-01-17
第 7場
2021-01-17沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI BRAVO勝出，贏出1-3/4。VALIANT DREAM獲得亞軍；CARROLL STREET獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門CARROLL STREET跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT 0.57.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 13 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | VALIANT DREAM Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | CARROLL STREET XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR CP-/B2 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 10 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | FORTE XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 4.5 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE V C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 65.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FLASHCARD B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 14 | 182.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER COMMANDER H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 12 | 307.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 25.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | WINNING BREW B1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 26.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | BALTIC WHISPER TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 5 | 71.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 132.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | ACA POWER XB-/B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 223.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FORTE | 44.2% | 2.26 | 6 |
| 2 | 13 | CARROLL STREET | 20.5% | 4.89 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | WINNING BREW | 7.1% | 14.04 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | PING HAI BRAVO | 5.9% | 16.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 5.5% | 18.22 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | VALIANT DREAM | 5.1% | 19.44 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 4.3% | 23.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 2.1% | 47.29 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE | 1.9% | 52.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | BALTIC WHISPER | 1.7% | 57.74 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | FLASHCARD | 0.6% | 169.68 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 0.4% | 280.64 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | ACA POWER | 0.3% | 288.34 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | SUPER COMMANDER | 0.3% | 360.62 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 113
PLACE
1 25
3 13
13 15
QUINELLA
1,3 184
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 55
1,13 53
3,13 29
FORECAST
1,3 401
TIERCE
1,3,13 1,280
TRIO
1,3,13 154
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 313
QUARTET
1,3,13,4 10,339
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,11,13/1,3,13 217,485
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 22
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 1,201
5/3 103.5