Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT 1.35.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 6 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 7 | 95.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 13 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly CP-/B1 V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | LAND POWER C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 12 | 6.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARIZARD TT Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 3 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION B- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly CP-/B1 C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 63.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 4 | 38.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 50.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 34.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DECISIVE ACTION, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with GREEN ENVY second and SHANGHAI DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN ENVY | 25.7% | 3.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 14.1% | 7.12 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 9.1% | 10.95 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 8.9% | 11.27 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 8.2% | 12.26 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LAND POWER | 7.6% | 13.12 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST | 6.6% | 15.15 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS | 5.1% | 19.50 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 4.0% | 24.72 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 3.6% | 27.64 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | STARSHIP | 2.8% | 36.01 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION | 2.1% | 46.90 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 1.1% | 89.02 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 1.0% | 98.01 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37
PLACE
3 14.5
10 18
13 23.5
QUINELLA
3,10 79
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 34
3,13 73
10,13 75.5
FORECAST
3,10 225
TIERCE
3,10,13 1,152
TRIO
3,10,13 255
FIRST 4
3,8,10,13 4,806
QUARTET
3,10,13,8 43,980
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 236.5
4/10 32.5