Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DANDY YEARS, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with NEW FUTURE second and SPARKY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SUPER TEN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DANDY YEARS Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 14 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 2 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 13 | 5.7 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER TEN XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER Led early H/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL YOU KNOW Closed strongly H-/B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 6 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | ALEE KING PRAWN B V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 2 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CIRCUIT HERO Closed strongly N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 11 | 170.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B- H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 63.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER B1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | CIGARY Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 198.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | GOLD COMET CP C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 53.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER TEN | 34.0% | 2.94 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | NEW FUTURE | 12.8% | 7.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | DANDY YEARS | 10.7% | 9.37 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLD COMET | 7.1% | 14.12 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | SPARKY STAR | 7.0% | 14.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | ALL YOU KNOW | 5.7% | 17.64 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER | 5.1% | 19.76 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 4.3% | 23.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.1% | 24.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS | 3.2% | 31.40 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 2.6% | 38.22 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | CIGARY | 1.8% | 56.53 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 0.9% | 112.04 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | CIRCUIT HERO | 0.8% | 130.89 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 42
PLACE
2 18.5
9 15.5
12 77.5
QUINELLA
2,9 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 42
2,12 271.5
9,12 238.5
FORECAST
9,2 319
TIERCE
9,2,12 8,194
TRIO
2,9,12 1,896
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 582
QUARTET
9,2,12,5 22,378
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/2 453
9/9 3,230
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —